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Connecticut, Delaware, Maryland, Pennsylvania, and Rhode Island GOP Presidential Primaries

These states represent one of the biggest primary days in the Northeast.  For the Republicans, these states are all trending toward Donald Trump, though both John Kasich and Ted Cruz are hoping to make some inroads, for Cruz especially in some of the rural areas in Pennsylvania and Kasich in the moderate parts of Connecticut and Rhode Island and the DC suburbs in Maryland.   Following is a list of significant endorsements and then the order I expect each candidate to finish in each state.

A quick note on endorsements, these are culled from Wikipedia, campaign websites, and the media and may not be totally comprehensive.  They’re my best shot.  My endorsement lists follow a certain order: current Federal Cabinet members, former Federal Cabinet members, current statewide officeholders, current members of the U.S. House of Representatives, current state Senators, current State House members, current local officeholders, current DNC or RNC members, other prominent nonelected officials and businesspeople, newspapers, prominent civic organizations, and former elected officials in the same order as current ones.  All politicians should be assumed to be members of the same party as the person they are endorsing unless otherwise indicated.  Business and university affiliations are listed for identification purposes only and do not necessarily constitute an endorsement.

Connecticut

Ted Cruz: State Senator Joe Markley, Activist Peter Wolfgang

John Kasich: State Senator Len Fasano, State Senator Paul Formica, State Senator Tony Hwang, State Senator Rob Kane, State Senator Kevin Kelly, State Senator John McKinney, State Representative Mike Bocchino, State Representative Fred Camillo, State Representative Laura Devlin, State Representative Prasad Srinivasan, State Representative Terie Wood, Mayor Mark Boughton (Danbury), Former Lieutenant Governor Michael Fedele, Former Representative Lawrence DeNardis, Former Representative Nancy Johnson, Former Representative Chris Shays

Donald Trump: State Representative Anthony D’Amelio, Republican Town Committee Chairman Jim Campbell (Greenwich)

Delaware

Ted Cruz: RNC Member Ellen Barrosse

John Kasich: State Representative Deborah Hudson, Former Representative Thomas Evans, Jr., Former State Representative Timothy Boulden

Donald Trump: No significant endorsements

Maryland

Ted Cruz: State Senator Michael Hough, State Senator Justin Ready, State Senator Stephen Waugh, State Delegate Steven Arentz, State Delegate William Folden, State Delegate Jefferson Ghrist, State Delegate Glen Glass, State Delegate Tony McConkey, State Delegate Warren Miller, State Delegate Neil Parrott, State Delegate Deb Rey, State Delegate Sid Saab, State Delegate Brett Wilson, Montgomery County Republican Central Committee Member Gus Alzona, Former RNC Member Jim Pelura

John Kasich: State Delegate Mary Beth Carozza, State Delegate Robert Flanagan, State Delegate Michael Malone, State Delegate Herbert McMillan, State Delegate Ric Metzgar, State Delegate Tony O’Donnell, Commissioner LeRoy Myers, Jr. (Washington County), General Counsel Dirk Haire (Maryland Republican Party), Baltimore Jewish TimesThe Baltimore Sun, Former Representative Connie Morella, Former State Senator Howard Denis, Former State Delegate Donald Murphy

Donald Trump: Chairman Jesse Singh (Maryland Governor’s Association on South Asian Affairs), Neurosurgeon Ben Carson (Johns Hopkins University)

Pennsylvania

Ted Cruz: Activist Daniel Pipes

John Kasich: Former Homeland Security Secretary and Governor Tom Ridge, Former U.S. Attorney General and Governor Dick Thornburgh, Representative Charlie Dent, State Senator John Gordner, State Senator Joseph Scarnati, State Representative Gary Day, State Representative Fred Keller, Former Lieutenant Governor Robert Jubelirer, Former Representative Jon Fox, Former Representative Melissa Hart, Former Representative Robert Smith Walker, Former State Senator Earl Baker

Donald Trump: Representative Lou Barletta, Representative Tom Marino, State Representative Mike Vereb

Rhode Island

Ted Cruz: Former RNC Member Giovanni Cicione

John Kasich: State Representative Daniel Reilly, Former Governor Lincoln Almond, Former Lieutenant Governor Bernard Jackvony, Former State Senator Dawn Hodgson

Donald Trump: State Representative Joseph Trillo

Result Predictions

Connecticut

1st: Donald Trump

2nd: John Kasich

3rd: Ted Cruz

Delaware

1st: Donald Trump

2nd: John Kasich

3rd: Ted Cruz

Maryland

1st: Donald Trump

2nd: John Kasich

3rd: Ted Cruz

Pennsylvania

1st: Donald Trump

2nd: Ted Cruz

3rd: John Kasich

Rhode Island

1st: Donald Trump

2nd: Ted Cruz

3rd: John Kasich